European Open: Asian Equities Keep The Bearish Ball Rolling

Asian equities remained under pressure following its weak lead from Wall Street, with a broad market index for the region approaching its one-year low.

Volatility was low for forex pairs overnight

Asian Indices:

  • Australia's ASX 200 index fell by -36 points (-0.49%) and currently trades at 7,242.50
  • Japan's Nikkei 225 index has fallen by -530.42 points (-1.89%) and currently trades at 27,901.30
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng index has risen by 67.78 points (0.28%) and currently trades at 24,104.15

 

UK and Europe:

  • UK's FTSE 100 futures are currently up 35 points (0.5%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 7,046.01
  • Euro STOXX 50 futures are currently up 15.5 points (0.39%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 4,011.91
  • Germany's DAX futures are currently up 69 points (0.46%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 15,105.55

 

US Futures:

  • DJI futures are currently down -323.54 points (-0.94%)
  • S&P 500 futures are currently up 52.25 points (0.36%)
  • Nasdaq 100 futures are currently up 6.25 points (0.15%)

 

Indices

Higher oil prices continued to fan inflationary concerns and weigh on equity prices across Asia. The MSCI APAC index (excluding Japan) fell over 1% and is now approaching the August low. It currently trades lower for a 6th consecutive week. The ASX 200 is currently -0.7% lower and on track to change direction for its 5th consecutive session as the directionless shakeout continues. And the Nikkei 225 accelerated to the downside and hit a 25-day low. The index is down around -10% since its failure to hold above the February high.

 

Still, there may be chance of a technical bounce looking at the Nasdaq 100. It found support at a bullish trendline from the March low and monthly S1 pivot. It also closed back above the July 19th low, so there is a technical case for a minor bounce (even if it is only short lived). And if the Nasdaq can manage a bounce then it may help the FTSE 100 remain above 7000, a level it tried to crack yesterday.

 

FTSE 350: Market Internals

FTSE 350 performance

FTSE 350: 4026.29 (-0.23%) 04 October 2021

  • 57 (16.24%) stocks advanced and 288 (82.05%) declined
  • 4 stocks rose to a new 52-week high, 22 fell to new lows
  • 55.56% of stocks closed above their 200-day average
  • 55.27% of stocks closed above their 50-day average
  • 9.4% of stocks closed above their 20-day average

 

Outperformers:

  • + 5.41%-Harbour Energy PLC(HBR.L)
  • + 3.71%-BH Macro Ltd(BHMG.L)
  • + 3.37%-J Sainsbury PLC(SBRY.L)

 

Underperformers:

  • -6.91%-Frasers Group PLC(FRAS.L)
  • -5.53%-Trainline PLC(TRNT.L)
  • -5.30%-Restaurant Group PLC(RTN.L)

 

Forex:

The RBA held interest rates at 0.1% as widely expected, and decided to continue purchasing government securities at AU $4 billion per week until at least February 2022. So it look like we get to celebrate the first anniversary of their record low rates at next month’s meeting. Volatility was low overnight and ultimately a minor correction against yesterday’s moves, so USD is currently the strongest major.

 

CHF/JPY is probing trend resistance

 

Technically, CHF/JPY may be one to watch after it printed a prominent swing low yesterday. Its bullish outsider / engulfing candle confirmed support just above the 200-day eMA, and followed on from a small Doji as part of a Morning Star reversal (3-bar bullish reversal pattern). Having confirmed support at the monthly S1 pivot point it is now probing trend resistance. If prices can break above yesterday’s high we think it could aim for the 120.62 highs, just below the monthly R1 and weekly R2 pivots.

Final PMI reads across Europe place EUR and GBP pairs into focus in today’s session. Yet as it’s the flash report that tends to provide greater levels of volatility traders would need to see some strong revisions before expecting any larger moves.

We also have a few central bankers speaking today. ECB board member Fernandez Bollo speaks at the international summit “GLOBAL NPL” at 08:00. The Fed’s Thomas Barkin speaks at 15:30 BST, and Vice Chair Randal Quarles speaks at 18:15.

 

 

Commodities:

Gold was -0.5% lower overnight having found resistance at the monthly pivot point and yesterday’s high. Yet due to its bullish outside day yesterday, a break above resistance assumes bullish continuation in line with Thursday’s elongated bullish candle.

Oil prices were a touch higher overnight after breaking to 3-year high. And should they continue to rise then it could spell further trouble for equities, whilst a pause in trend for oil could potentially see bears shaken out at the lows.

 

Up Next (Times in BST)

Today's calendar

Disclaimer

This report is intended for general circulation only. It should not be construed as a recommendation, or an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any financial products. The information provided does not take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before you act on any recommendation that may be contained in this report, independent advice ought to be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment product, taking into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.

StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd., may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities or affiliates within the StoneX group of companies or third parties pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed to a person in Singapore who is not an accredited investor, expert investor or an institutional investor (as defined in the Securities Futures Act), StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. accepts legal responsibility to such persons for the contents of the report only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. at 6826 9988 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.

In the case of all other recipients of this report, to the extent permitted by applicable laws and regulations neither StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. nor its associated companies will be responsible or liable for any loss or damage incurred arising out of, or in connection with, any use of the information contained in this report and all such liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. No representation or warranty is made, express or implied, that the content of this report is complete or accurate.

StoneX Financial Pte. Ltd. is not under any obligation to update this report.

Trading CFDs and FX on margin carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit cityindex.com.sg for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.