CADJPY bounced off from support with positive momentum

CAD/JPY further potential upside supported by prevailing risk on environment.

Medium-term technical outlook on CAD/JPY

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Key Levels (1 to 3 weeks)

Intermediate support: 81.90

Pivot (key support): 81.40

Resistances: 83.45, 84.80 & 85.20

Next supports: 80.10 & 78.80/20

Directional Bias (1 to 3 weeks)

Bullish bias in any dips above 81.40 key medium-term pivotal support for another round of potential upleg to retest the recent 29 Oct swing high area of 83.45 before targeting 84.80 next.

On the other hand, a break with a daily close below 81.40 invalidates the bullish scenario for a choppy push down towards 80.10 support (03 Oct 2019 swing low & close to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the on-going up move from 26 Aug low to 29 Oct 2019 high).

Key elements

  • The CAD/JPY cross pair has started to evolve into a medium-term ascending channel in place since 26 Aug 2019 low within a long-term secular range configuration in place since Apr 1995.
  • Recent price action has staged a rebound from the medium-term ascending channel support at 81.40 with positive momentum. The daily RSI oscillator has bounced off from a parallel support at the 40-level coupled with a bullish divergence seen in the 4-hour RSI oscillator at its oversold region.
  • The cross pair has also staged a bullish breakout yesterday, 26 Nov from its former minor descending resistance from 29 Oct high now turns pull-back support at 81.90.
  • The 84.80 significant medium-term resistance is defined by the upper boundary of the medium-term ascending channel and a Fibonacci expansion cluster.

Charts are from eSignal

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