When trading forex prices, you would buy a currency pair if you believed that the base currency will strengthen against the counter currency. Alternatively, you would sell a currency pair if you believed that the base currency will weaken in value against the counter currency.
Forex trading allows you to speculate on price movements in the global currency market. Currency values rise and fall in relation to each other and in response to national and international economic, financial and political events. There is no difference in profit or loss potential if a currency rises or falls in relation to its trading partners so you can as readily sell a currency as you can buy it. The first currency in any pair, for example EUR/USD or USD/CHF is the base currency. Trades and positions are calculated in that currency. For EUR/USD trades are made in euros but for USD/CHF, trades are conducted in US dollars. Forex is a leveraged product enabling you to trade by paying a small fraction of the equity that would be needed to fund a trade. This means that you can potentially magnify your returns on an investment. Remember though that higher leverage can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit.
Going Long on GBP/USD (Sterling/US Dollar)It is the first Friday of the month and let’s assume that GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.5586/1.5588.Traders are concerned about the employment situation in the US. They expect the level of actual non-farm payrolls to come in worse than economist estimates. You expect that the US dollar will weaken and the British pound will strengthen against the US dollar, and decide to buy (go long) £10,000 on GBP/USD at 1.5588.The trade size is in units of the first, or base, currency in the pair.
For this trade, you choose a leverage scale of 50:1. This requires an initial deposit of (£10,000*1.5588/50) $311.76. Find out more about Leverage. As you anticipated, the pound strengthens against the dollar, and when it reaches 1.5650 you decide to cash in your profits. Our new price is 1.5650/1.5652 and you sell to close at 1.5650.Result: You bought at 1.5588 and sold at 1.5650, a rise of 62 pips. This gives you a profit of:(1.5650 – 1.5588) x 10,000 = $62.Profit/Loss is calculated (and denominated) in the second, or counter currency of the pair.Profit/Loss calculation: The difference between the closing price and opening price x size of trade.Alternative scenario: If however, the actual non-farm payroll data had come in better-than-expected, the US dollar would have strengthened against the pound. If GBP/USD would have gone down, say, to 1.5530 you would lose (1.5588 - 1.5530) x 10,000 = $58.Profit/Loss Conversion: To help simplify the trading process, City Index automatically converts trading P&L into the client’s denominated account currency at the prevailing market rate at the time that the trade is closed.
It is mid-July, and let’s say that EUR/USD is trading at 1.3360/1.3361.Investors remain worried about the impact of the sovereign debt crisis and you expect the euro will fall against the US dollar. You decide to sell (go short) €10,000 on EUR/USD at 1.3360.For this trade, you choose a leverage scale of 40:1. This requires an initial deposit of (€10,000*1.3360/40) $334.00. You were right. Euro depreciates against the dollar to 1.3251 and you decide to close your trade and take your profits. Our new price is 1.3250/1.3251 and you buy to close at 1.3251.Result: You sold at 1.3360 and bought at 1.3251, a fall of 109 pips, giving you a profit of:(1.3360 - 1.3251) x 10,000 = $109.Alternative scenario: If, however, a weaker dollar across the board overnight had pushed the euro up by 130 points to 1.3490, you would have lost (1.3490 – 1.3360) x 10,000 = $130.
It is mid-March 2011 and USD/JPY is trading at 76.39/76.40.The Japanese yen has surged since its worst earthquake in history due to high demand for yen as international businesses attempt to redevelop the devastated areas. You believe that the yen is too strong and will fall back against the US dollar, ie the US dollar will strengthen against the yen. You decide to buy (go long) $10,000 on USD/JPY at 76.40. For this trade, you choose a leverage scale of 50:1. This requires an initial deposit of ($10,000*76.40/50) 15,280 yen. As you predicted, USD/ JPY bounces back to 78.66 and you decide to take your profits. Our new price is 78.66/ 78.68. You sell to close at 78.66.Result: You bought at 76.40 and sold at 78.66, a rise of 226 pips, giving you a profit of:(78.66 – 76.27) x 10,000 = 22600 yen. Alternative scenario: If the dollar had continued to weaken against the yen, falling further to a record low of say 76.25, you would lose (76.40 – 76.25) x 10,000 = 1500 yen.
It is mid-summer and let’s say USD/CAD is trading at 0.9520/0.9524.A lack of progress in talks aimed at raising the US debt ceiling has weighed down on the US currency.You expect USD/CAD will decline further and decide to sell (go short) $10,000 on USD/CAD at 0.9520.You were right. The US dollar continues to weaken against the Canadian dollar and reaches a low of 0.9434. You decided to take your profits at this point. Our new price is 0.9430/0.9434 and you can therefore buy to close at 0.9434.Result: You sold at 0.9520 and bought at 0.9434, a drop of 86 pips. This gives you a profit of: (0.9520 – 0.9434) x 10,000 = CAD86.Alternative scenario: If the dollar had bounced back against the Canadian dollar to 0.9600, you would have lost (0.9600 – 0.9520) x 10,000 = CAD80.
Let’s say EUR/GBP is trading at 0.8850/0.8852 at the moment.Traders are bracing themselves for the worst, ahead of the release of UK Q2 GDP figures.You expect the pound will depreciate against the euro, ie the euro will strengthen against the pound, and decide to buy (go long) €10,000 on EUR/GBP at 0.8852.For this trade, you choose a leverage scale of 20:1. This requires an initial deposit of (€10,000*0.8852/20) £442.60. As anticipated, the British pound goes down against the euro. EUR/GBP rises to 0.8880 and you decide to cash in your profits. Our new price is 0.8880/0.8882. You sell to close at 0.8880.Result: You bought at 0.8852 and sold at 0.8880, an increase of 28 pips. This gives you a profit of: (0.8880 – 0.8852) x 10,000 = £28.Alternative scenario: The actual UK Q2 growth rate meets expectations, thus pushing the pound up against the euro. EUR/GBP declines to 0.8823. In this case, you would lose (0.8852 - 0.8823) x 10,000 = £29.
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Trading CFDs and FX on margin carries a high level of risk, that may not be suitable for some investors. Consider your investment objectives, level of experience, financial resources, risk appetite and other relevant circumstances carefully. The possibility exists that you could lose some or all of your investments, including your initial deposits. If in doubt, please seek independent expert advice. Visit cityindex.com.sg for the complete Risk Disclosure Statement.
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